References
Thursday, October 30, 2003:
Background reading:
For November 4 and 6, please read two of three articles each day closely, but you only need to critique one of the six articles. The critique is due on November 6.
Tuesday, November 4, 2003:
Thursday, November 6, 2003:
1. Chance fluctuations in allele frequency which occur as a results of random sampling among gametes.
2. Important in small populations
3. Loss of genetic variation
1. Movement of genes among populations
2. Homogenizes differences among populations
3. Source of variation for single populations
1. Changes in genetic material
2. Includes single nucleotide insertions, deletions, changes, chromosomal changes, and spontaneous polyploidy.
3. Source of genetic variation
1. Process by which genotypes with greater fitness leave, on the average, more offspring than do less fit genotypes.
2. Genetic composition gradually changes to promote greater adaptation to the environment
3. Usually results in a loss of genetic variation (but not always)
1. For a population of diploid individuals (2N), the probability that a population will contain a specific number, i, of one type of allele.
2. Equation:
3. Probability of fixation is the probability that a given allele will have 100% frequency.
4. Probability of loss of allele is probability that it will have 0% frequency.
5. For example, a plant population of N=4 and 6 A alleles.
p=6/8=.75
q=2/8=.25
6. Note that example shows high likelihood of loss of allele in this small population.
(Figure taken from Felsensetein, NOAA Tech Memo NMFS NWFSC-30: Genetic Effects of Straying (http://research.nwfsc.noaa.gov/pubs/tm/tm30/felsenstein.html)
1. Continuous drift; random effects are often the most important factor contributing to evolutionary change in populations that are always small.
a. Endangered species, e.g. California condors
b. Insular species (small islands, fragmented habitats
c. Skewed mating systems - many individuals but few breeders.
2. Intermittent drift: large fluctuations in population size.
3. Bottleneck effects - e.g. northern elephant seals, cheetahs (or metapopulation)
4. Founder effects
a. if a small group of individuals becomes geographically isolated from the remainder of the population or a small group of individuals colonize a new site.
b. random effects will significantly determine the frequencies of genes in the new population. e.g. Hawaiian Drosophila
See Felsenstein's PopG Genetic Simulation Program
ftp://evolution.gs.washington.edu/pub/popgen/popg.html
1. As time goes on, more and more populations become fixed
2. Population show the effects of "inbreeding", that is an overall deficiency of heterozygotes.
3. Within subpopulations, allele frequencies fit HW expectations.
4. For large populations that become subdivided due to restricted gene flow, genetic drift will influence loss of local genetic variation but, if sufficient number of subpopulations, global genetic variation will remain constant.
Kirkpatrick and Barton 1997
1. HI= heterozygosity for an individual in some subpopulation
=average heterozygosity of all loci for individual
(usually, we calculate the average observed heterozygosity across all individuals in a subpopulation.
2. HS =heterozygosity of a randomly mating subpopulation
= 2pq
3. HT = heterozygosity of a randomly mating total population
=2poqo
1. Inbreeding coefficient
a. measures reduction in heterozygosity of an individual due to nonrandom mating within a subpopulation.
b. equation:
2. Fixation index
a. measures reduction in heterozygosity due to genetic drift within subpopulations
b. measures amount of genetic differentiation among populations
equation:
3. Overall inbreeding coefficient
a. measure of reduction in heterozygosity of an individual relative to total population
b. reflects of the effect of inbreeding and genetic drift
c. equation
1. Phlox cuspidata, single locus, PGM-, with two alleles, a and b.
2. 43 subpopulations
3. results
population freq(b) H 1-40 1.0 0 41 .49 .17 42 .83 .06 43 .91 .06 means: .9821 .067 Note: the high degree of both inbreeding and population subdivision
Be careful of studies with only one locus.
1. Liatris cylandacea, herbaceous perrenial
2. study site: 18 m x 13 m plot in sand prairie, Illinois, 66 quadrats of 3 m2
3. 27 loci, 15 polymorphic
4. Results:
Locus FIS FST FIT GOT .3773 .1084 .3885 MDH .4853 .0903 .5318 ADH .4508 .0452 .4755 AP-1 .4669 .2240 .5863 AP-2 .5050 .0438 .5267 Est-1 .5020 .0464 .5249 Est-2 .5059 .2190 .4110 Pep .3025 .0256 .3203 G-6PGDH .4013 .0677 .4419 6-PGDH .3629 .0756 .4110 Per-- .1004 .0139 .1121 Per+ .2579 .0395 .1004 PGI .4401 .0767 .4830 AlkP .4148 .0361 .4358 Est-3 .4289 .0091 .4344 MEANS: .4070 .0687 .4257 5. Conclusions:
High inbreeding, and moderate population differentiation
Careful: both measures are a function of her quadrat size.
Question: what would happen if quadrat size was too large relative to area of
1. Treats all populations as having equal probability of gene exchange.
2. FST= 1 / [4Nm + 1]
Assuming equibrium between gene flow and genetic drift
3. Estimate of average effective number of migrants per generation
(Equation 1)
1. Uses equation 1 to estimate pairwise gene exchange,
2. Based on Kimura's stepping stone model that individuals are dispersed from neighboring populations.
3. Isolation by distance predicts that gene exchange should decrease with interpopulation distance.
4. The ibd approach can incorporate landscape features by estimating various interpopulation pathways.
1. Measures distribution of genotypes within a population
2. Spatially explicit
3. Most plant populations show clusters of individuals with shared alleles
a. presumed to be due to restricted gene flow
b. affects estimates of mating system.
See Rousett 1997 for sophisticated use of spatial autocorrelation statistics to examine gene flow
1. Dynamics of colonization and extinction create different genetic structure than predicted by conventional population genetic models (e.g. island, mainland-continent, stepping stone)
2. Hedrick and Gilpin estimated the effective size of a metapopulation and show that metapopulation dynamics have the following impact effects:
a. heterozygosity declines to some lower level
b. FST increases to some lower level
c. Metapopulation effective size is reduced
d. Number of subpopulations increases effective population size and FST
Table IV. Estimated effective population sizes for different numbers of subpopulations when local patches have infinite size, c=.2 and e=.05. NP Ne(S) Ne(T) Ne(S)/ Ne(T) FST 5 43.3 57.2 .756 .166 10 40.7 766 .531 .312 20 39.4 148.8 .265 .386 40 39.5 306.1 .124 .418
e. Gene flow increases metapopulation effective population size and reduces FST
Table V. The estimated effective population sizes for different levels of gene flow between patches when K is infinite, c=.2, e=.05, and NP=10. m Ne(S) Ne(T) Ne(S)/ Ne(T) FST .00 40.7 76.6 .531 .312 .00125 66.5 95.1 .699 .224 .0025 88.9 115.7 .769 .167 .005 125.8 140.1 .898 .114 .01 156.7 172.4 .909 .069 .02 217.7 219.7 .991 .040 3. Metapopulation dynamics may cause loss of heterozygosity can be lost more quickly than predicted by traditional estimates of effective population size.
4. Metapopulation dynamics may be a better explanation for low genetic variation in cheetah than the bottleneck hypothesis.
1. Estimates gene movement per reproductive episode
2. Estimates are not the same as Nm; more similar to Wright's Neighborhood model:
3. Early approaches tracked animal movement or documented pollen and seed movement
4. Most genetically based plant population studies quantify pollen-mediated gene movement, but seed-mediated gene flow is possible.
1. Usually focusses on pollen-mediated gene flow
2. Example, Streiff et al. 1999
1. TwoGener: Two generation model to estimate effective number of pollen donors and average distance of pollen movement.
2. Example: Discuss Sork et al 2002: Gene flow in wind-pollinated Valley oak in California oak-savanna
3. Example 2: Discuss Dick et al 2003: pollen movement in Brazilian forest fragments
C. Contemporary seed movement